Polymarket Trader

polymarketer1

0xb368a05c5ef9754ba21152c60dac96a0cb1d9734

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $254.86
Realized PnL: $1.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $314.64
Potential profit: $314.64
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Kash Patel out by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $313.41
Potential profit: $313.41
User PnL: -$62.22

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $37.41
Potential payout: $257.97
Potential profit: $220.57
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$62.59

Yes position

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $203.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.9%
Current value: $121.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $78.3
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $99.5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $14.62
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $92.52
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.89
Potential profit: $105.89
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $19.48
Potential payout: $105.59
Potential profit: $86.11
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $103.48
Potential profit: $102.91
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$21.43

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.38
Potential profit: $101.38
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.36
Potential profit: $100.36
User PnL: -$23.26

No position

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $58.15
Potential payout: $100.25
Potential profit: $42.11
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $8.15

Yes position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $30.5
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$8.17

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.69
Potential profit: $20.69
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.27

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.71

Alcaraz position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.43

Yes position

Solana above $190 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.27

Yes position

Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.27

Yes position

Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.08

Yes position

Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.37

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.17

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.8

No position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.03

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.95

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.52

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.89

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.11

No position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.28

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.73

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.05

No position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.68

Wolves position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.34

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Hawks position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.02

Jannik Sinner position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.43

Yes position

Will Syria hold national elections before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67

Magic position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33% 33.33 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 105.59 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.8% 107.14 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 58% 20.69 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Yes 76.2% 128.87 shares
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev

Jannik Sinner 91.5% 99.15 shares
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 7.3% 314.64 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

No 96.3% 119.18 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

No 66% 119.18 shares
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Yes 1.9% 105.89 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 105.26 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?

Yes 1% 200 shares