Yes position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $53.57
- Potential payout
- $714.29
- Potential profit
- $660.71
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$46.43
Polymarket Trader
wherewindsmeet16
0xb36a688c1ae41823a3c9c651679d4fce674bee04
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $391.39
- Realized PnL
- $388.42
- Win rate
- 45%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $405
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $26.92
- Potential payout
- $283.33
- Potential profit
- $256.42
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$13.08
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $8.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $191.8
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$10.6
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $195.3
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $39.5
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $160.49
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.05
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $90
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $79.5
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $32.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $67.5
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $14.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $57.69
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$24.44
Yes position
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $14.55
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $15.45
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $6.45
Yes position
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.12
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.82
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.9
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $13.33
No position
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.28
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.62
Yes position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$13.33
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 71% 100 shares
- Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes 89% 100 shares
- Will Putin visit China by May 31?Yes 98% 100 shares
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 25% 50.2 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.6% 100 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 200 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 199.99 shares
- Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 50% 76 shares
- Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 73% 100 shares
- Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 42% 100 shares
- Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18% 100 shares
- Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 36% 100 shares