Polymarket Trader

0xB3790aAFC8130e20A7DA95E28E8accbD26bd2d36-1778289272997

0xb3790aafc8130e20a7da95e28e8accbd26bd2d36

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $181.47
Realized PnL: -$166.38
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.5K
User PnL: -$25

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.71K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $527.03
Potential profit: $525.97
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$5.95

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $9.77
Potential payout: $501.2
Potential profit: $491.43
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$15.23

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $37.17
Potential payout: $495.58
Potential profit: $458.41
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$44.93

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $39.29
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $103.57
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $29.29

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $86.59
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $35.37
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $36.59

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $7.08
Potential payout: $61.54
Potential profit: $54.46
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.03
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$4.47

Yes position

Haji Wright: 1+ shots

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.65
Potential profit: $15.65
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.17

Colorado Rockies position

Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.58

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.95

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $8.85

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO on June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO on June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.35

Chicago White Sox position

Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO on June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.18

Yes position

Will Dell say "xAI" during earnings call?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$67.82

No position

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$163.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 61.54 shares
Haji Wright: 1+ shots

Yes 31.9% 15.65 shares
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Australia FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 55% 8.77 shares
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic 72% 19.23 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 57% 8.77 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 5,000 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 7% 142.86 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 2,500 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 87% 45.9 shares