Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.85K
- Potential payout
- $6.85K
- Potential profit
- $3.43
- User PnL
- $98.69
Polymarket Trader
Steve-Haines
0xb37aa8834f9baefc6fb3312f59df8ddf0348f1b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.04K
- Realized PnL
- $21.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $23.62
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $3.91K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.52K
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- User PnL
- $555.75
Yes position
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $982
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $128.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $871.5
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $23.5
Yes position
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $552.26
- Potential profit
- $551.43
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $108.99
- Potential payout
- $435.97
- Potential profit
- $326.98
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$39.06
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $55.46
- Potential payout
- $257.97
- Potential profit
- $202.5
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$44.54
Yes position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $207.76
- Potential payout
- $217.66
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$3.77
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $20.86
- Potential payout
- $166.92
- Potential profit
- $146.06
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.87
Yes position
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $34.43
- Potential payout
- $140.53
- Potential profit
- $106.1
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $9.84
- Potential payout
- $45.78
- Potential profit
- $35.94
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$10.7
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $32.94
- Potential payout
- $33.37
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $22.53
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
No position
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Y
Yes position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $989.23
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $984.94
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $906.41
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $822.33
Yes position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $524.58
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.54
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.28
Lucknow Super Giants position
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.76
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.71
No position
Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.68
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.19
N
No position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $310.03
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $300.71
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.83
Yes position
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.73
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 16.5% 642.98 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 19% 112.3 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 56% 31.88 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 57% 410 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 60% 15.52 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes 11.8% 551.85 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes 8.3% 8,033.54 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?Yes 11.6% 1,514.61 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?Yes 29.2% 43.09 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Yes 42.6% 302.3 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?Yes 98.7% 638.95 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?Yes 98.4% 3,067.64 shares