Polymarket Trader

4lucky

0xb37e6a5687577a0d192dd57ebb661904e2608d2f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.05K
Realized PnL: -$6.01K
Win rate: 30.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $394.9
Potential payout: $7.59K
Potential profit: $7.2K
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: -$587.64

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $346.54
Potential payout: $6.3K
Potential profit: $5.95K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$562.42

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $306.46
Potential payout: $6.13K
Potential profit: $5.82K
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$1.09K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.85K
User PnL: -$291.99

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-60 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$35.01

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$68.85

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,700 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$30.51

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.95
Potential profit: $162.95
User PnL: -$66.81

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.15
Potential profit: $46.15
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $520.12

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $389.69

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.18

Pirates position

Pirates vs. Rockies

Ends Aug 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.85

Yes position

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$62.84

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$82.99

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$114.44

Yes position

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$203.24

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$444

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.1K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.21K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.7K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 5.4% 946.18 shares
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?

Yes 7.4% 500.77 shares
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?

Yes 0.6% 2,917.32 shares
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?

Yes 7.6% 2,917.32 shares
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?

Yes 20% 500.78 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Yes 41% 162.95 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 605 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14.4% 6,905.65 shares
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 6,647.99 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 15,529.45 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 1,720.07 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 285.71 shares