Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.44K
- Potential payout
- $25.46K
- Potential profit
- $22.03K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$892.11
Polymarket Trader
Jeronacus
0xb38002f0b1f1de06fc7caa78b82254541f98dae3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.44K
- Realized PnL
- -$6.01K
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.83
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.37
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$21.9
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$26.92
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$314.34
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$489.94
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$547.41
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$658.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.89K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.31K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.3K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 7.74 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 36.89 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 15.8% 27,298.04 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 10.34 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 572.41 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 25% 9,950.96 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 27% 12,520.92 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 28% 4,408.17 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 22% 13.55 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 21% 26,914 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 26% 21,740.12 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 33% 2,146 shares