Polymarket Trader

ceil

0xb38568494845447feb295348a0030140b9f9180e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $555.88
Realized PnL: $20.11K
Win rate: 30.8%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $555.88
Potential payout: $17.65K
Potential profit: $17.09K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$44.1

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.52K
Potential profit: $15.52K
User PnL: -$3K

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.48K
Potential profit: $13.48K
User PnL: -$3.1K

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.25K
Potential profit: $13.25K
User PnL: -$6.89K

Yes position

Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.45K
Potential profit: $4.45K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $3.51K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $3.34K
User PnL: -$599.99

Yes position

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.11K
Potential profit: $3.11K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.92K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89K

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9K

No position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$116.24

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$236.09

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$446.91

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$449.15

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$472

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.64K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?

Yes 23% 13,478.26 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 13,251.92 shares
Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?

Yes 4.5% 4,450.06 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.4% 17,647.06 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 37% 10,810.81 shares
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?

Yes 32.2% 3,108.98 shares
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 19.3% 15,516.25 shares
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Yes 13.9% 6,209.34 shares
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Yes 8.3% 4,210.52 shares
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 2.6% 2,487.73 shares
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 2,123.32 shares
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Yes 23.5% 2,123.33 shares