No position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $41.08
- Potential payout
- $43.01
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Polymarket Trader
Jorahstone
0xb38bd51605a7cb4456ddb7f9154ab0465c63a49b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.08
- Realized PnL
- $27.27
- Win rate
- 93.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.99
- Potential profit
- $5.99
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
BNK FearX Youth position
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
NRG position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Trump say "Outstanding" during Fed chair announcement?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will XRP reach $1.80 February 2-8?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 93% 43.01 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83% 45.78 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95.3% 40.04 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 94.9% 40.04 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 90% 43.35 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 92% 43.36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95% 42.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95% 42.11 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.1% 40.45 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.4% 40.46 shares
- LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2BNK FearX Youth 35% 8.97 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 98.4% 5.08 shares