Polymarket Trader

nv314

0xb38f9f08d3278afb6b80e665d6cefb7fc401ee37

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30.23
Realized PnL: $895.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $392.83
Potential profit: $392.83
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $6.29
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $83
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $18.4
Potential payout: $60.32
Potential profit: $41.92
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $56.4
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$10.56

Yes position

Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $0.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $200.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $87.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.16

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.72

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.31

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.73

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

No position

Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.89

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 555.56 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.6% 217.39 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 175.44 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.6% 89.29 shares
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 71% 199.96 shares
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 5.2% 300 shares
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 6.9% 300 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 19% 242.31 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 39% 242.3 shares
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 5.2% 60 shares
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 5.3% 140 shares
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 65% 97.9 shares