Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $991.5
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Polymarket Trader
0xB396AE31629ddFaFE5f648B034595dc65F259ee9-1760274796389
0xb396ae31629ddfafe5f648b034595dc65f259ee9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.04
- Realized PnL
- $7.34
- Win rate
- 47.1%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.57
- Potential profit
- $53.57
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.43
- Potential profit
- $28.43
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.74
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $3.99
- Potential payout
- $8.97
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.6%
- Current value
- $3.34
- Potential payout
- $5.33
- Potential profit
- $1.99
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
North Korea missile launch by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 80.7% 5.33 shares
- Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.8% 20.83 shares
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1% 1,000 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.6% 53.57 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 32% 8.97 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 54% 9.62 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 52% 5.77 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.2% 2.56 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 61% 1.64 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 55% 3.64 shares
- Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes 70% 7.14 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 25% 4 shares