Polymarket Trader

daviglib

0xb39df61e7fb34e8a09e62209f22f2763ca5e6cc9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $317.64
Realized PnL: $270.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $26.75
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $191.5
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $132.03
Potential payout: $157.18
Potential profit: $25.15
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $5.39

No position

Will USD/BRL hit 6.25 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $46.59
Potential payout: $87.09
Potential profit: $40.5
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$25.6

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $86.88
Potential profit: $86.75
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.96

No position

Will USD/BRL hit 7.25 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $50.97
Potential payout: $58.25
Potential profit: $7.28
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$2.62

No position

Will USD/BRL hit 4.25 (Low) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $20.83
Potential payout: $37.19
Potential profit: $16.36
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$12.32

No position

Will USD/BRL hit 4 (Low) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $29.4
Potential profit: $9.41
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$4.01

No position

Will USD/BRL hit 6.75 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $11.61
Potential profit: $5.05
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$3.19

No position

Will USD/BRL hit 6.5 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $5.29
Potential payout: $9.28
Potential profit: $3.99
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$2.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $67.9

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $58.01

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.05

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.55

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.45

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.2%
Multiplier: 4.51x
User PnL: $6.85

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $6.7

No position

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

No position

Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

No position

Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

No position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

No position

Russian strike on a NATO member by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

No position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

No position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" over 30% on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USD/BRL hit 4.25 (Low) in 2026?

No 88% 1.34 shares
Will USD/BRL hit 4.25 (Low) in 2026?

No 88% 10 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 100 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 1,000 shares
Will USD/BRL hit 6.5 (High) in 2026?

No 80% 9.28 shares
Will USD/BRL hit 4.25 (Low) in 2026?

No 89% 17.87 shares
Will USD/BRL hit 6.75 (High) in 2026?

No 84% 11.61 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 200 shares
Will USD/BRL hit 7.25 (High) in 2026?

No 92% 58.25 shares
Will USD/BRL hit 4 (Low) in 2026?

No 77% 18.04 shares
Will USD/BRL hit 4 (Low) in 2026?

No 89% 11.36 shares
Will USD/BRL hit 4.25 (Low) in 2026?

No 91% 7.98 shares