Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $188.89
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$11.11
Polymarket Trader
0xb3b1E64E4D3c7b068014609AF89dEAcd149D4AA0-1762607036402
0xb3b1e64e4d3c7b068014609af89deacd149d4aa0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $447.6
- Realized PnL
- $256.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $341.38
- Potential profit
- $291.88
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$49.5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $98.48
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $204.55
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.8%
- Current value
- $30.51
- Potential payout
- $128.21
- Potential profit
- $97.69
- Multiplier
- 4.20x
- User PnL
- -$19.49
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $80.22
- Potential payout
- $98.13
- Potential profit
- $17.91
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $10.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.22
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes 33% 303.03 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp 36% 47.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp 35% 22.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp 32.6% 47.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp 36% 47.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp 36% 47.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp 32% 47.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETDown 1% 4.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETDown 1% 4.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETDown 1% 4.64 shares