Polymarket Trader

minsayr

0xb3b2404e0aabe1f2326c8e155f9abd8715da3b1a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $39.4
Realized PnL: $77.63
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$47.4

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.91
Potential profit: $31.91
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $24.69
Potential payout: $26.62
Potential profit: $1.93
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $14.7
Potential payout: $19.74
Potential profit: $5.03
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.74

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.41

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.8%
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 76% 19.74 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 93.9% 26.62 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.5% 87.71 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 61.72 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.7% 55.86 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.4% 87.72 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 61.73 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.9% 55.87 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.7% 109.28 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

No 91.1% 21.81 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.3% 109.29 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.3% 21.05 shares