Polymarket Trader

Ole-Slupphaug

0xb3b2bb3af8568c5ee9878e0f48352b8113399a77

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.72
Realized PnL: $10.36
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.68
Potential profit: $285.68
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $53.54
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.08
Potential profit: $48.08
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $29.7
Potential profit: $26.58
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$2.82

No position

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Yes 20% 29.7 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 70% 6.14 shares
Will the US strike Somalia next?

No 30% 6.67 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Yes 96.5% 13.84 shares
US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Yes 11% 33.33 shares
US strike on Mexico by January 31?

Yes 3.6% 111.11 shares
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

No 70% 14.28 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Yes 58.9% 7.14 shares
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

No 77% 14.29 shares
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 53% 20 shares