Polymarket Trader

S.T.F.

0xb3b50ef66acf4beefafa754a4e4b8b5cd5b6bef4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $59.57K
Realized PnL: $37.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $18.81K
Potential payout: $20.33K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $111.94

No position

Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $19.27K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $730
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $70

No position

Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $9.84K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $155
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $708.03

No position

Will Türkiye finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.59K

No position

Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $5.23K
Potential payout: $5.28K
Potential profit: $50.18
User PnL: $103

No position

Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $3.41K
Potential payout: $4.09K
Potential profit: $674.79
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $347.62

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $278.35
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$355.27

No position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $755
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $245
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$75

No position

Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $808.72
Potential payout: $809.93
Potential profit: $1.21
User PnL: $14.17

No position

Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $704.39
Potential payout: $737.97
Potential profit: $33.58
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $11.44

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $208.41
Potential payout: $212.66
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$2.13

No position

Will Belgium finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $86.17
Potential payout: $88.7
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $74.7
Potential payout: $75.57
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.34

No position

Will Senegal finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $48.09
Potential payout: $54.96
Potential profit: $6.87
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Hyperbeat launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $32.39
Potential payout: $33.34
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.77K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87K

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $829.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $827.44

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $772.54

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $589.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $571.38

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $460.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $422.91

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $401.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396

No position

Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.5

No position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $310.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.55

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $289.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

No 88% 781.74 shares
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Yes 96.5% 54.57 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

No 29% 932.18 shares
Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

No 81% 1,616.26 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Yes 63% 4,148.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Up 8% 93.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Up 38% 477.68 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Up 29.7% 640.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Up 29% 327.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Down 21.1% 446.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Up 40.1% 238.82 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on February 20?

No 91% 20.6 shares