Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $31.11
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Polymarket Trader
0xb3ba...9b0f
0xb3ba900e7d60a896660de40d4ed5aa70ddc79b0f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $71.8
- Realized PnL
- $3.92
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $21.33
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $5.67
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $6.01
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.7
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $6.55
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $10.46
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $13.84
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $2.52
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $9.48
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $9.52
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $8.58
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $5.52
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.23
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Multiplier
- 21.51x
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Multiplier
- 14.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes 6.4% 20 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 89% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 97.2% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 44.9% 8 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 48.6% 8 shares
- Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 5% 34 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 63% 14 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 38% 12 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 80% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 21% 16 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No 92.8% 6 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Yes 7.3% 20 shares