Polymarket Trader

MrPapaya

0xb3bb41a902b573cfd1ce1733aca41c9605eb2667

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: -$8.56K
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 19?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69K
Potential profit: $69K
User PnL: -$69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1PM ET

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60K
Potential profit: $60K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.07K
Potential profit: $58.07K
User PnL: -$299.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.29K
Potential profit: $38.29K
User PnL: -$707.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.33K
Potential profit: $34.33K
User PnL: -$149.97

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.71K
Potential profit: $16.71K
User PnL: -$700

No position

Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: -$175

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 15-21?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.66K
Potential profit: $3.66K
User PnL: -$22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2PM ET

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.38K
Potential profit: $3.38K
User PnL: -$81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.95K
User PnL: -$160.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4AM ET

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$504.44

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 September 15-21?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 September 15-21?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $918.87
Potential profit: $918.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $830.24
Potential profit: $830.24
User PnL: -$88.85

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 15-21?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $742.36
Potential profit: $742.36
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $577.87
Potential profit: $577.87
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 September 15-21?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3PM ET

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.47
Potential profit: $169.47
User PnL: -$93.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7PM ET

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 8PM ET

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3PM ET

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 2PM ET

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.67

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.21

Yes position

Will Netanyahu say "Trump" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.74

No position

Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4.12

No position

Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$9.55

No position

Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$42.34

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$108.05

No position

Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$214.88

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$292.05

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.39K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.18K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 94.8% 2,335.48 shares
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 49% 1,673.24 shares
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 45% 662.24 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?

Yes 0.4% 34,325.48 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?

Yes 0.3% 50,000 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?

Yes 0.5% 58,070.26 shares
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Yes 11% 500 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Yes 1.8% 38,292.3 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Yes 4.2% 16,708.74 shares
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Yes 11% 815.15 shares
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Yes 9% 175.17 shares
Will the US strike Iran next?

Yes 12.7% 17,168.33 shares