Polymarket Trader

megafom

0xb3bd99454bfc2696c54dba999e7de40fb020f543

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.61K
Realized PnL: $33.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $10.51K
Potential payout: $10.54K
Potential profit: $31.61
User PnL: $336

No position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $231.09
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $138.28

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $48.2
Potential payout: $48.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

HOTU position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2K

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.25K

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84K

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $877.72

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700.27

No position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $581.26

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $545.17

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.7

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.72

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.37

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.74

Yes position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.51

Yes position

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.41

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Vitality (BO1)

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.55

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $226.05

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3)

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.67

Yes position

Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.11

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.55

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.82

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.73

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158

MOUZ position

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1)

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In

FUT Esports 74% 150 shares
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)

paiN 98.9% 134.13 shares
US government shutdown Saturday?

Yes 50% 5.24 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 95.4% 300 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)

Aurora Gaming 43.9% 347.76 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner

HOTU 99.9% 300 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner

HOTU 10% 17.94 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner

HOTU 0.1% 10,000 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)

Aurora Gaming 99.9% 305.99 shares
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)

Aurora Gaming 65% 49.06 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 95.4% 300 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

No 99.9% 1,000 shares