Polymarket Trader

BaruchGuilty

0xb3be134e850f73e34f4295a71a61d54e51c31015

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $465.32
Realized PnL: $2.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $1.38K
User PnL: -$200

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$100

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $648.51
Potential profit: $648.51
User PnL: -$300

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $484.17
Potential profit: $484.17
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84.4%
Current value: $392.79
Potential payout: $465.67
Potential profit: $72.88
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $192.79

Yes position

Will Greece win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $458.95
Potential profit: $458.95
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2025-10-12?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Haiti?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $425.03
Potential profit: $425.03
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310.9
Potential profit: $310.9
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-09-18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.53
Potential profit: $291.53
User PnL: -$9.72

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Canada?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.08
Potential profit: $258.08
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $7.6
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $184.71
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $53.83
Potential payout: $156.06
Potential profit: $102.24
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$6.67

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.99
Potential profit: $136.99
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.22
Potential profit: $136.22
User PnL: -$49.04

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $130.65
Potential profit: $119.54
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$43.9

Türkiye position

Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.22
Potential profit: $123.22
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.78
Potential profit: $106.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.67
Potential profit: $100.67
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.13

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420.75

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.54

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.1

Yes position

Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.92

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2025-11-16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.33

Yes position

Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-24?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.27

Yes position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.44

Yes position

Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.5

Yes position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.52

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.89

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 3PM ET

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.35

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

No position

Will Netanyahu meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa by September 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.21

Over position

VfB Stuttgart vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 3.5

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.43

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.32

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-25?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.45

Olympique Lyonnais position

Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.33

Maccabi Tel Aviv position

BC Dubai vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 42.9% 465.67 shares
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?

Yes 15% 33.33 shares
Jonathan David: 1+ goals

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Brazil 31% 32.26 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 46% 21.74 shares
Giovani Lo Celso: 1+ goals

Yes 22% 22.73 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes 31% 109.68 shares
Harry Kane: 2+ goals

Yes 28% 35.71 shares
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Canada?

Yes 3.9% 258.08 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 41% 24.39 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 38.46 shares