Yes position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $497.25
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$47.25
Polymarket Trader
GooseMarket6527
0xb3c267b3752835c8f374467d3e949c1c43d93054
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.75
- Realized PnL
- $2.51K
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-03?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.06
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.57
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.29
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.9
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Yes 99.9% 57.85 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?No 1% 1,946.52 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?No 3.5% 1,946.52 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Yes 83.3% 50 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Yes 82% 390.58 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Yes 83% 900 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Yes 84% 12,374.33 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Yes 85% 1,082.35 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Yes 86.5% 200 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?No 85% 20 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?No 85% 1,117.76 shares
- Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Yes 86% 1,120.83 shares