Polymarket Trader

RioRuka

0xb3cb8e6ce47628433fbed567419306e3587ae349

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.43
Realized PnL: $19.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $24.21
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $18.39
Potential profit: $17.9
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.1
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.23
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $1.48
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $0.59
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.42

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.26

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.4%
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will New York Knicks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Another US bank failure by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.11

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Warriors

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48%
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 29% 3.45 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.4% 6.1 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 55.7% 2.79 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 35.8% 2.79 shares
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.1% 24.39 shares
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 18.39 shares
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 28% 6.66 shares