No position
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $12K
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
whale69
0xb3cc62a854be6887f7f0c1f48d3f88f62c7462b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $122.39
- Realized PnL
- $778.2
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.28
- Potential profit
- $316.28
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $219.73
- Potential profit
- $219.73
- User PnL
- -$52
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $122.39
- Potential payout
- $216.67
- Potential profit
- $94.27
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$7.61
Yes position
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.01
- Potential profit
- $199.01
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.43
- Potential profit
- $130.43
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.09
- Potential profit
- $103.09
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $168.18
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $123.01
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.91
Yes position
U.S. military action against Iran before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.99
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.13
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.75
No position
Kamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday?
Ends Nov 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.78
Yes position
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.7
No position
Will Israel target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.24
No position
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $20.62
No position
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $16.15
No position
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $13.75
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Kemi Badenoch next Conservative party leader?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$3.35
No position
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Michigan rally?
Ends Oct 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.76
Yes position
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$15.4
No position
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$15.91
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.5% 837.82 shares
- Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.3% 72.46 shares
- Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 37.9% 76.69 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 60% 216.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95% 136.37 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.9% 837.83 shares
- Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86% 62.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 45% 128.75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 3,500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 81% 8.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 40% 128.75 shares
- Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 43.2% 78.09 shares