No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $754.74
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $769.99
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $168.04
Polymarket Trader
PhoenixWager
0xb3d7736055eefc5948890303e6410f755b6f7504
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.68K
- Realized PnL
- $18.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $725
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $275
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $373
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $673.64
- Potential payout
- $724.34
- Potential profit
- $50.7
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $179.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $651.84
- Potential payout
- $720.27
- Potential profit
- $68.43
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $123.35
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $506.37
- Potential payout
- $578.71
- Potential profit
- $72.34
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $250.61
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $97.22
- Potential payout
- $526.95
- Potential profit
- $429.73
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $516.92
- Potential payout
- $519.78
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- $52.92
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $478.75
- Potential payout
- $509.31
- Potential profit
- $30.56
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $68.75
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $363.38
- Potential payout
- $491.05
- Potential profit
- $127.67
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $63.38
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $325.8
- Potential payout
- $472.25
- Potential profit
- $146.44
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$27.9
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $76.49
- Potential payout
- $449.97
- Potential profit
- $373.47
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$125.83
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: June
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $409.82
- Potential payout
- $435.98
- Potential profit
- $26.16
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $9.82
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $418.74
- Potential payout
- $427.72
- Potential profit
- $8.98
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $18.74
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $404.25
- Potential payout
- $411.87
- Potential profit
- $7.62
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.25
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $327.89
- Potential payout
- $392.68
- Potential profit
- $64.79
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $5.89
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $288.54
- Potential payout
- $356.22
- Potential profit
- $67.68
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$11.46
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $321.22
- Potential payout
- $339.91
- Potential profit
- $18.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $21.22
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $310.46
- Potential payout
- $327.67
- Potential profit
- $17.2
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $10.46
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.9%
- Current value
- $251.07
- Potential payout
- $310.54
- Potential profit
- $59.47
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $5.07
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $79.02
- Potential payout
- $250.85
- Potential profit
- $171.83
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$39.98
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $75.98
- Potential payout
- $249.13
- Potential profit
- $173.14
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $7.99
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $212.91
- Potential payout
- $219.15
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $31.49
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $206.38
- Potential payout
- $209.21
- Potential profit
- $2.82
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $198.89
- Potential payout
- $208.81
- Potential profit
- $9.92
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
No position
Will Solana dip to $110 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Will Solana reach $240 October 6-12?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Solana reach $270 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $843.93
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $779.04
No position
Will Solana reach $250 September 8–14?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $745.7
No position
Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $711.94
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.71
No position
Will Solana dip to $120 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.6
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4800 August 11–17?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.65
No position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $504.75
No position
Will Solana reach $190 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.67
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $481.66
No position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $469.2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $431.19
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.05
No position
Will Solana reach $210 in July?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $391.59
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.82
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.26
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 64.2% 155.47 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No 98.9% 102.38 shares
- Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?No 55% 155.38 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 99.6% 87.06 shares
- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?No 85.2% 46.94 shares
- Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?No 95.8% 104.38 shares
- Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?No 95.8% 104.43 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?No 88% 113.64 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No 36% 194.44 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.7% 526.95 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?No 98.7% 102.37 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 15 2026?No 80% 68.76 shares