Polymarket Trader

PascalA

0xb3e4a98a69fd63db1a4320977f58dd51e526fb45

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $131.2
Realized PnL: $768.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

DoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $649.99
Potential profit: $649.99
User PnL: -$427.93

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395.62
Potential profit: $395.62
User PnL: -$300.27

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.99
Potential profit: $259.99
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86.5
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$18.4

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.1

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$37

Yes position

DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$22

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.74
Potential profit: $95.74
User PnL: -$17.23

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $46.75
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$17.12

Yes position

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.05
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.5

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.2

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.92

Yes position

Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97

Yes position

Will Republicans have 55 seats in Senate after election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.88

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.98

Yes position

Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.04

No position

Will Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.61

No position

Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.26

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

No position

Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 12-15%?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.3

Yes position

Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.05

No position

Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.34

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.6

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.87

Yes position

Will Amazon say "Robotics" during earnings call?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

No position

Will Trump say "Soybean" during Xi events on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $3

No position

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $2.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

Yes 59% 100 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

No 17% 304.26 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

No 18% 208.88 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?

Yes 82.6% 214.82 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

No 18% 100 shares
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Yes 32% 90 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 69% 20.08 shares
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Yes 31% 10 shares
DoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?

Yes 68% 99.99 shares
DoorDash total orders above 940M in Q1?

Yes 66.8% 300 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 74% 53 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 75% 58 shares