Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $97.97
- Potential payout
- $564.98
- Potential profit
- $467.01
- Multiplier
- 5.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Polymarket Trader
arnal
0xb3e61df882c855f4e74c53ca2d49d71179636423
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $454.93
- Realized PnL
- $1.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $103.32
- Potential payout
- $265.25
- Potential profit
- $161.94
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $253.65
- Potential payout
- $253.78
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $53.65
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.96
- Potential profit
- $240.96
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.26
- Potential profit
- $59.26
- User PnL
- -$32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.41
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $148.94
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.56
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.31
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.91
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.83
No position
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.79
France position
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.9
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.89
No position
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Yes 78.8% 253.78 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 37.7% 265.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?Yes 22% 34.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?Yes 29% 34.48 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.7% 564.97 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.8% 602.4 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 83% 240.96 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.6% 602.41 shares
- Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes 87% 46.87 shares
- Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?Yes 64% 46.88 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?No 52% 18.86 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 4?No 53% 18.87 shares