Polymarket Trader

0xB3f65bA29841Fdf504670Ad7118C1430A77821D4-1781718452268

0xb3f65ba29841fdf504670ad7118c1430a77821d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $36.15
Realized PnL: $64.06
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.47
Potential profit: $130.47
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $65.77
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $36.06
Potential profit: $33.08
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $35.63
Potential profit: $35.4
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$4.77

No position

Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $32.28
Potential profit: $31.59
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $30.91
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $0.34
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $20.91

No position

Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $26.58
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.69
Potential profit: $20.69
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.06
Potential profit: $9.06
User PnL: -$7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $7.58
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $2.38
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $1.39
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 27?

Yes 1% 69.36 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?

Yes 32% 15.63 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 27?

Yes 7.2% 69.37 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 27?

Yes 14% 35.63 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?

Yes 32% 15.63 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.5% 66.67 shares
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70?

No 3.7% 27.03 shares
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?

No 3.1% 32.28 shares
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?

Yes 2.8% 36.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 25?

Yes 29% 17.24 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?

Yes 33% 15.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 25?

Yes 32% 3.13 shares