0xB3FbaCF1FCfD5188738e43cad25c9b3Fd753a324-1772318958468

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $117.93
Potential payout: $9.43K
Potential profit: $9.32K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $71.35

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.16K
Potential profit: $8.16K
User PnL: -$11.53

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.57K
Potential profit: $5.57K
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $18.26
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.84

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.78K
User PnL: -$402.4

Yes position

Will Solana reach $100 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $970.91
Potential profit: $970.91
User PnL: -$9.21

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $4.3
Potential payout: $781.71
Potential profit: $777.41
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$5.85

Yes position

Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $42-$49 in June?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $721.09
Potential profit: $718.93
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$5.96

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $21.33
Potential payout: $444.34
Potential profit: $423.01
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: -$4.56

Yes position

Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.33
Potential profit: $428.33
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $7.61
Potential payout: $400.38
Potential profit: $392.78
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Fervo Energy's market cap be less than $5.5B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.68
Potential profit: $317.68
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$42 in June?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $232.92
Potential profit: $232.22
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $7.79
Potential payout: $118.9
Potential profit: $111.11
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $112.5
Potential profit: $112.05
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.55
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $2.92
Potential payout: $95.63
Potential profit: $92.71
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $8.99
Potential payout: $89.95
Potential profit: $80.95
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $69.53
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $5.51
Potential payout: $64.81
Potential profit: $59.31
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.91
Potential profit: $48.91
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will USD/JPY hit 120 (Low) in 2026?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $5.89
Potential payout: $42.04
Potential profit: $36.16
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $3.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

Will USD/KRW hit 1350 (Low) in 2026?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $13.32

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $8.22

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.83

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?

Implied probability: 35.6%
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.40 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 35%
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will XRP reach $2.20 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.57

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 91%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Solana reach $150 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$60 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?