Polymarket Trader

TheLD2K

0xb409630cc20f37639975ce2219bfd8e59f7ab518

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $103.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.57
Potential profit: $50.57
User PnL: -$13.3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.46
Potential profit: $25.46
User PnL: -$4.84

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Penguins position

Penguins vs. Rangers

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.09
Potential profit: $10.09
User PnL: -$5.75

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.03
Potential profit: $10.03
User PnL: -$3.61

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Heat

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.6
Potential profit: $7.6
User PnL: -$3.57

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Magic

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.25
Potential profit: $5.25
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Boom" or "Booming" during tech signing event on Wednesday?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.37
Potential profit: $3.37
User PnL: -$2.39

No position

Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4
Potential profit: $2.4
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

BNK FEARX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 68.9% 5.87 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 99.6% 1.74 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 89% 5.88 shares
Claude 4.7 released by April 17?

No 7% 22.47 shares
Claude 4.7 released by April 17?

No 8.9% 22.47 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 79% 1.75 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

No 26.3% 50.57 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 99.2% 13.41 shares
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?

No 95.6% 5.66 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?

Yes 35% 6.45 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

No 19% 25.46 shares