No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.1%
- Current value
- $50.06
- Potential payout
- $58.18
- Potential profit
- $8.12
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $20.97
Polymarket Trader
0xb409...6bb5
0xb409646524b7801cc2194a3328e422ae7c416bb5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $58.18
- Realized PnL
- $11.46
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $8.12
- Potential payout
- $58.18
- Potential profit
- $50.06
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- -$20.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Israel announces end of military operations against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease?
Ends Apr 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000?
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the Indianapolis Colts make the playoffs?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Rabby airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
US bank failure by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 56°F or below on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the ECB announce no change?
Ends Apr 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the September meeting?
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Apple release iPhone 17 by September 9?
Ends Sep 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Alex de Minaur win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Oliver Thomas win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election?
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 97.6% 8.17 shares
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes 98.7% 5.38 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?Yes 96.5% 6.08 shares
- US bank failure by January 31?No 95.5% 9.98 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 97% 10.19 shares
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Yes 96.3% 5.39 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 10.2 shares
- US bank failure by January 31?No 93.5% 9.99 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 96.9% 8.17 shares
- Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?No 90% 6.26 shares
- Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000?No 96.8% 7.07 shares
- Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?No 98.5% 5.47 shares