Polymarket Trader

0xB41858d489634aF214dD6815b12AE38ce0988f46-1765253391944

0xb41858d489634af214dd6815b12ae38ce0988f46

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $101.5
Realized PnL: $1.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$806.72

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $298.19
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$268.19

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.22
Potential profit: $133.22
User PnL: -$25.26

No position

Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108
Potential profit: $108
User PnL: -$8.05

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $99.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $16.7

No position

Will Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.22
Potential profit: $97.22
User PnL: -$35.28

Yes position

Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$13.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.6
Potential profit: $5.6
User PnL: -$4.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.47

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.2

No position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.54

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden" during Fox interview on Wednesday?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.79

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.78

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Yes position

Will Ozzy Lusth be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.74

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.74

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.81

Yes position

Will Trump say "SAVE Act" or "SAVE America Act" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 25, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

No position

Will Trump say "Messi" or "Ronaldo" during trophy presentation?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.61

No position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 3, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Ohio visit?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.47

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.32

No position

Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during NYC rally?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 19% 133.22 shares
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Yes 25% 55 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?

Yes 81.2% 199 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?

Yes 81.4% 300 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?

Yes 88% 26 shares
Will Evil Morty appear in Rick and Morty: Season 9?

Yes 91% 20 shares
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?

Yes 91% 10 shares
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 62.8% 120 shares
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 63.2% 273.74 shares
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 58.8% 650 shares
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

No 83% 200 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?

Yes 94% 17.86 shares