Polymarket Trader

MarioA10

0xb41c7dadffb5984d0769be9ffd247449cd622f0d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $728.11
Realized PnL: $1.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $728.11
Potential payout: $58.25K
Potential profit: $57.52K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$225.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Sachko position

Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachko

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.67

Yes position

Will Qarabag win on 2025-09-16?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $63.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.41

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

Minaur position

Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Alex de Minaur

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.68

Yes position

Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Korea Open?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.24

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.6

Alcaraz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.14

Yes position

Will Juventus win on 2025-09-13?

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.82

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Up 58% 6.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Down 98% 3.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Down 96% 2.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Down 92% 2.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Down 88% 2.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Down 75% 2.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 54% 4.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Up 47% 4.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Up 57% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Up 49% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Up 17% 3.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Down 77% 2.6 shares