Yes position
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $505
- Potential profit
- $504.24
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Polymarket Trader
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.
0xb41ead279375742d6c2a1a2239bdce56376411fd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.51
- Realized PnL
- $1.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $428.2
- Potential profit
- $427.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $363.15
- Potential profit
- $358.24
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $351.36
- Potential profit
- $346.61
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $349.76
- Potential profit
- $345.74
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $3.12
- Potential payout
- $347.1
- Potential profit
- $343.98
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $341.83
- Potential profit
- $340.46
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $337.79
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.97
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $336.88
- Potential profit
- $336.88
- User PnL
- -$4.15
Yes position
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $333.35
- Potential profit
- $333.18
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $332.96
- Potential profit
- $330.29
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $331.54
- Potential profit
- $330.38
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Yes position
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $4.25
- Potential payout
- $327.12
- Potential profit
- $322.87
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $4.41
- Potential payout
- $326.59
- Potential profit
- $322.18
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $325.22
- Potential profit
- $323.27
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.09
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $320.15
- Potential profit
- $317.75
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $318.88
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $5.19
- Potential payout
- $314.26
- Potential profit
- $309.07
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.29
- Potential profit
- $312.29
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $311.33
- Potential profit
- $311.33
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Yes position
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $3.19
- Potential payout
- $304.24
- Potential profit
- $301.05
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.41
- Potential payout
- $300.96
- Potential profit
- $298.55
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $300.43
- Potential profit
- $298.18
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
Yes position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$3.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.26
Over position
Cobolli vs. Svajda: Match O/U 36.5
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.19
Yes position
Will Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.71
Bortoleto position
Who will finish higher: Bortoleto or Hulkenberg?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.6
Y
Yes position
Will Georgia win the 2026 College World Series?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.27x
- User PnL
- $61.54
No position
Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.81
Yes position
Will Ederson be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.56
Yes position
Will BIG qualify to Stage 2 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.88
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.92
No position
Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.01
Yes position
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.25
Yes position
Will Marco Penge finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.74
Yes position
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $38.71
N
No position
Test Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Match goes to Day 4?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.15
Yes position
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.39
No position
Will Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.03
No position
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $33.89
Yes position
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.49
Ruud position
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Collignon (+1.5)
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.79
N
No position
Will the 2026 NBA Finals be tied 2-2 through 4 games?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.4
Yes position
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- $26.85
Yes position
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.83
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.67
No position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?Yes 4.5% 10 shares
- APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch?No 24% 9.05 shares
- Will Connor Burbridge be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?Yes 4.8% 18 shares
- Will Bart Verbruggen record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 7.1 shares
- Will Dale Holness be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?Yes 6% 19.4 shares
- Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Yes 12% 5.43 shares
- Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 25% 6.25 shares
- Will Ibrahima Konaté score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8% 9.09 shares
- Will Ivory Coast finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 1.8% 1.1 shares
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by June 30?Yes 3.6% 20 shares
- Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 57% 0.32 shares
- Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 42% 16.69 shares