Polymarket Trader

Ivelius

0xb428d781fb3fcf1ac499078273fe59cc2d1ee51c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.68
Realized PnL: $254.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $120.59
Potential profit: $118.96
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.37

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 2PM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 1PM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.78
Potential profit: $70.78
User PnL: -$33

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 25, 2PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.17
Potential profit: $47.17
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $8.43
Potential payout: $35.88
Potential profit: $27.45
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$6.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10AM ET

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$1.02

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 31, 5AM ET

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.93
Potential profit: $33.93
User PnL: -$14

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 11, 12PM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.04
Potential profit: $29.04
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 25, 1PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.86
Potential profit: $26.86
User PnL: -$14

Down position

Solana Up or Down - August 12, 2PM ET

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5PM ET

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 4PM ET

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4PM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 4PM ET

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $16.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $8.38
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $6.63

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 10AM ET

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $24.99
User PnL: -$1

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 11, 2PM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 10AM ET

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Solana Up or Down - October 23, 5AM ET

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.43
Potential profit: $19.43
User PnL: -$7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3AM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 31, 4AM ET

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.76
Potential profit: $17.76
User PnL: -$6.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10AM ET

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 25, 3PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.61

Down position

Solana Up or Down - October 23, 6AM ET

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2PM ET

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.89

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 7, 10AM ET

Ends Aug 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 25, 5PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11AM ET

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.97

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10AM ET

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 4PM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2PM ET

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 2, 3PM ET

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5AM ET

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 5, 5PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8AM ET

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11AM ET

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01

Up position

Solana Up or Down - September 14, 5PM ET

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7AM ET

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6AM ET

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6PM ET

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 19, 10AM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 42% 2.38 shares
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Argentina 99.8% 2.15 shares
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Argentina 46.5% 2.15 shares
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

France 59.7% 1.67 shares
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57.2% 1.75 shares
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Norway 35.7% 2.8 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 99.8% 3.34 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 59.7% 3.35 shares
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 1.3% 78.92 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Yes 48% 10.42 shares
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 40% 25 shares