N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.1%
- Current value
- $254.99
- Potential payout
- $530.68
- Potential profit
- $275.69
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $147.26
Polymarket Trader
01-zhangyusheng
0xb430f92e61fc868399cfbce1566c87285a32a75e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $254.99
- Realized PnL
- $71.91
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.42
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.55
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.03
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 21.9% 88.22 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 23.5% 42.46 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 91.5% 168.36 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 98.5% 152.09 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?No 91.7% 132.95 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 93% 131.07 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 83.4% 131.07 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.6% 108.66 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.1% 1.09 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.4% 109.75 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 99.2% 53.91 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?No 97.5% 53.48 shares