Polymarket Trader

Zarchell

0xb4382139f2b88a527a75d43b3144b861fd65f5f1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.07K
Realized PnL: $8.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $16.36K
Potential profit: $15.3K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.9
Potential payout: $31.2
Potential profit: $27.3
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Down position

XRP Up or Down on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 1AM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $786.53

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.54

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $517.73

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 5PM ET

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.04

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $364

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.28

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.04

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.14

No position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.99

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.27

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.37

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.57

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.93

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.75

Down position

XRP Up or Down - November 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.55

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.89

Down position

XRP Up or Down on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 15% 31.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Down 64.9% 1,257.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Down 64% 21.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Down 66% 14.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Up 97.7% 762.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Up 82% 118.79 shares
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Up 99% 100.86 shares
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Up 99% 100.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Down 98% 844.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Up 97.2% 828.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Up 97.9% 807.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Down 97% 790.89 shares