No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $164.47
- Potential payout
- $164.55
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $54.1
Polymarket Trader
0xb453...bed9
0xb45341534dd71b773307c9da794f30a8c01abed9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $459.53
- Realized PnL
- $426.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $40
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $51.88
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $73.13
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$9.38
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $16.75
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $108.25
- Multiplier
- 7.46x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $13.72
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $31.27
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$3.97
Yes position
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $27.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $12.4
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $22.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $17.8
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $17.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $7.88
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $7.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $17.13
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $22.55
- Potential profit
- $19.62
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.85
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.06
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.53
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.64
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $57.09
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- $47.5
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.92
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.56
No position
Will Stephan Jaeger win the 2026 ISCO Championship?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
Belgium position
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $5.16
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
N
No position
Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Y
Yes position
Will anyone say "Raven" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
N
No position
Will Jac Caglianone win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
N
No position
REKONIX to win 2-0?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.3%
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.7B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-07-08?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
N
No position
Will Elon post "IPO" on X this week?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes 4.1% 160 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No 35% 200 shares
- Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes 26% 40 shares
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes 33% 130 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 14?Yes 0.7% 100 shares
- Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No 65.9% 40 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No 84% 100 shares
- Will Jac Caglianone win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?No 91% 5 shares
- Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.7B?Yes 95.7% 8.03 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?Yes 97% 8 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Yes 94.5% 5.03 shares
- Will anyone say "Raven" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?Yes 93% 8 shares