Polymarket Trader

pierreoscoeur

0xb4560e1ac84ceaf2e987a4fbc6c5d85f8c3f1acd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.08
Realized PnL: $185.79
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $55.58
Potential profit: $55.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.97

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 1 - 2 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $23.08
User PnL: -$6

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $14.39
Potential profit: $4.39
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $11.3
Potential profit: $10.22
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$4.24

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $3.08
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.29

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.36

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.88

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.02

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Over position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

No position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $2.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

No position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Down 34% 2.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Down 3% 33.33 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 65% 3.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Up 9% 11.11 shares
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?

Yes 43% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Up 1% 100 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 26% 23.08 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5

Over 99.9% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Up 34% 2.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Down 2% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Down 78% 1.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Down 4% 25 shares