No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $11.12
- Potential payout
- $13.82
- Potential profit
- $2.69
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $2.14
Polymarket Trader
0xb4604139A4040FC2E18bE32485fe2b65a0026424-1774103925155
0xb4604139a4040fc2e18be32485fe2b65a0026424
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.92
- Realized PnL
- $202.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.99
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.81
- Potential payout
- $10.81
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.34
- Potential profit
- $6.34
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or below on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 11?No 65% 13.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 11?No 81.7% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 11?No 97.9% 9.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?No 83.1% 10.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?No 86% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 6?No 99% 0.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 1?No 98% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 30?No 88% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?No 82% 6.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 27?No 86% 11.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?No 98% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?No 64% 5 shares