Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $97.36
- Potential payout
- $21.64K
- Potential profit
- $21.54K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.51K
Polymarket Trader
metatip
0xb464f7d54cb410926a8afd9f86d69edc42531d98
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.72K
- Realized PnL
- $12.03K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.72K
- Potential profit
- $20.72K
- User PnL
- -$3.28K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $13.01K
- Potential profit
- $11.38K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.9K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.71K
- Potential profit
- $5.71K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.94K
- Potential profit
- $4.94K
- User PnL
- -$203.98
No position
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.11K
- User PnL
- -$105
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$50
Lakers position
Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$171
Yes position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $420.48
- Potential profit
- $420.48
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $390
- Potential profit
- $390
- User PnL
- -$50.7
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $295.27
- Potential profit
- $295.27
- User PnL
- -$82.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.47
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.69
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.69
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.37
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.44
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $37.63
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.28
Yes position
Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.01
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.21
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- -$8.24
Yes position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.51
Yes position
Will 20-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.58
Yes position
Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.73
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10.76
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.31
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.56
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.26
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes 2.9% 3,121.92 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 1.3% 1,250 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 26.2% 762.86 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 33.7% 100 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 4.3% 3,800 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 81% 370.37 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes 14.6% 10,260.94 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes 3.5% 20,000 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 27% 5,546.7 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes 5.4% 28,293.86 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No 5.1% 1,300 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes 14% 1,100 shares