No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $10.73
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $1.27
Polymarket Trader
0xB46C00DC3A547f9f4E22859E469f3829Fa0Fa31D-1772170313706
0xb46c00dc3a547f9f4e22859e469f3829fa0fa31d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.27
- Realized PnL
- -$6.06
- Win rate
- 31.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.32
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.94
No position
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.76
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.51
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 20% 15 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 58.5% 17.09 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 41% 24.39 shares
- US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?No 36% 13.89 shares
- SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?No 20% 18.72 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 75% 2.67 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Up 10% 50 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 41% 17.64 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 0.2% 1,500 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No 48% 20.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown 14.3% 34.79 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Down 87.9% 20.4 shares