No position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.95
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Polymarket Trader
0xb46d...e7fa
0xb46dcb0fa413a345fc01bfc293e59918e425e7fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $18.1
- Realized PnL
- -$10.98
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.29
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $4.61
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $6.35
- Potential profit
- $5.46
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $3.25
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.62
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No 44% 3.25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 58% 3.05 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes 61% 8.13 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes 20% 6.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 74% 6.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 76% 6.08 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 25% 6.56 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 33% 7 shares
- Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?No 52% 9.17 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 38% 7.5 shares