Jumbajuz

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $114.74
Potential payout: $183.58
Potential profit: $68.84
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$20.26

Yes position

Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $69.46
Potential payout: $102.14
Potential profit: $32.68
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $58.77
Potential payout: $89.04
Potential profit: $30.27
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $14.56
Potential payout: $88.24
Potential profit: $73.68
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.44

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $56.4
Potential payout: $66.75
Potential profit: $10.35
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $44.82
Potential payout: $66.4
Potential profit: $21.58
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $46.58
Potential payout: $63.38
Potential profit: $16.8
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $33.76
Potential payout: $38.81
Potential profit: $5.05
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $5.43

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $19.4
Potential payout: $26.95
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $21.38
Potential payout: $25.61
Potential profit: $4.23
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $13.94
Potential payout: $24.67
Potential profit: $10.73
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $15.25
Potential payout: $24.59
Potential profit: $9.34
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $23.43
Potential payout: $23.44
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $8.43

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $14.67
Potential payout: $22.06
Potential profit: $7.39
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $14.26
Potential payout: $21.13
Potential profit: $6.87
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.74

No position

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $15.33
Potential payout: $19.53
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.48
Potential profit: $19.48
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $12.87
Potential payout: $18.79
Potential profit: $5.92
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.05
Potential profit: $17.05
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $14.92
Potential payout: $16.85
Potential profit: $1.94
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $2.14
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $12.14
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $10.46
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $12.13
Potential payout: $12.84
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $8.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.9

No position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $7.74

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 27 above $365?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.78

No position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $4.68

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.84

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $2.94

T1 position

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

KT Rolster position

LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.62

No position

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.51

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?