Polymarket Trader

0xb4875484C6555Db233641c3a3D61e424819D5130-1777395851289

0xb4875484c6555db233641c3a3d61e424819d5130

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.95
Realized PnL: $4.84
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kenzie Annis win Love Island USA Season 8?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $2.8
Potential payout: $180.96
Potential profit: $178.16
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $6.74
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $2.19
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.74

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.12
Potential profit: $7.12
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $5.75
Multiplier: 8.73x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $3.97
Potential profit: $3.2
Multiplier: 5.15x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $2.78
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.3%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $3.32
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: $0.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

paiN position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Aurora position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kenzie Annis win Love Island USA Season 8?

Yes 0.6% 180.96 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 19.2% 10.42 shares
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

paiN 63% 3.17 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 81% 1.23 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 21.8% 4.59 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 30.1% 3.32 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 15.4% 6.49 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 25.2% 3.97 shares
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Spurs 54% 7.41 shares
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Spurs 53% 12.96 shares
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

Aurora 76% 2.63 shares
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Spurs 54% 12.96 shares