Polymarket Trader

ulty

0xb4b05017041e9ca354926b1d48f0f8690ec4e14c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.14K
Realized PnL: $5.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $1.75K
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $75.91
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $253.36

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $76.95
Potential payout: $371.75
Potential profit: $294.8
Multiplier: 4.83x
User PnL: -$23.05

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $190
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $95.71
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $91
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $109
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $21.72
Potential payout: $111.69
Potential profit: $89.97
Multiplier: 5.14x
User PnL: $1.72

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.87
Potential profit: $97.87
User PnL: -$66

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.13
Potential profit: $88.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $11.4
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $64.36
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $11.4

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.01
Potential profit: $52.01
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $707.66

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $664.33

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $657.18

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.02

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.8

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.7

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.26

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.53

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.14

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.78

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.91

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.81

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.45

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.33

Yes position

Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.96

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.56

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.37

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.13

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.73

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.95

Yes position

Will Trump say "Russia" or "China" 4+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.52

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.3% 51.81 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.8% 58.82 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.2% 75.76 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 70% 285.71 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 81.1% 251.88 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 79.4% 251.88 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 82% 1,829.27 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 49% 40.82 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.8% 512.83 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 10% 30 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 94% 1,816.66 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 96.4% 1,406.25 shares