Polymarket Trader

0xB4d16f0346538FCceE67FfCec5c233a35D1d4c60-1729427300518

0xb4d16f0346538fccee67ffcec5c233a35d1d4c60

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $757.05
Realized PnL: $10.07K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.97K
Potential profit: $21.97K
User PnL: -$3.43K

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.03K
Potential profit: $14.03K
User PnL: -$5.67K

Yes position

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.03K
Potential profit: $14.03K
User PnL: -$750.99

Yes position

Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.85K
Potential profit: $9.85K
User PnL: -$2.03K

No position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.14K
Potential profit: $8.14K
User PnL: -$1.33K

Yes position

Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.98K
Potential profit: $3.98K
User PnL: -$143.97

No position

Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $446.45
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $2.53K
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$9.37

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.55K
User PnL: -$434.53

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$177.6

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$258.23

Yes position

Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$54.38

Yes position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$317.21

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $111.44
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: $46.85

Yes position

French election called by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$417.77

Yes position

Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7.23
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $5

No position

Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $720
Potential profit: $720
User PnL: -$159.2

Yes position

Will Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $413.26
Potential profit: $413.26
User PnL: -$27.91

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $34.85
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $375.15
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$88.09

Yes position

Will APNU win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $358
Potential profit: $358
User PnL: -$21.95

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $157.09
Potential payout: $353
Potential profit: $195.92
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$6.64

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144
Potential profit: $144
User PnL: -$37.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65K

Yes position

Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

No position

Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.18

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $155.55

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.39

No position

Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.1

No position

French election called by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.77

No position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.74

Yes position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.74

No position

Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.13

No position

Will Andrés Ariel Robles Barrantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.19

No position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.46

Yes position

Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.04

No position

Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

No position

French election called by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Yes position

Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.87

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11

Yes position

Will Romuald Wadagni be the next President of Benin?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

No position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Paul Hounkpè be the next President of Benin?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

No 15% 620 shares
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

No 15% 1,239 shares
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Yes 3.9% 1,663.3 shares
Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Yes 0.2% 1,111.85 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 43% 68 shares
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

No 23% 122.69 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 45% 124 shares
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

No 15% 247.99 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 98.9% 372 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 48.9% 161 shares
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

No 16% 992 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 98.7% 1,013.15 shares