Polymarket Trader

rmnrbshjio

0xb4d7e65d51c1f3a7951c84f0f9b7bed7e939f73a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $248
Realized PnL: $403.1
Win rate: 8.3%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Anthropic position

Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $15.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $584.1
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.2%
Current value: $36
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $463.99
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: $24.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $64.91
Potential payout: $486.2
Potential profit: $421.29
Multiplier: 7.49x
User PnL: $55.18

Yes position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $317.92
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$5.28

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $299.98
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.1
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$5.3

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$18.48

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $126
Potential profit: $121.02
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.2
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$9.3

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $61.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $38.5
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $51.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $88.5
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$6.26

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $3.08
Potential payout: $85.59
Potential profit: $82.51
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$5.56

Yes position

Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.3%
Current value: $50.36
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $34.64
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $40.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.2

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Google Gemini be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Canva IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 2.5m?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.96

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.16

Yes position

Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 1.5m and 2m?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.17

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.61

Yes position

Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 February 9-15?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.87

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Canva IPO before 2027?

Yes 9% 25.81 shares
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic 3.1% 134.21 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?

Yes 10.3% 180 shares
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

No 0.6% 1,666 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?

Yes 0.1% 9,062 shares
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

No 0.2% 100 shares
GTA VI released before June 2026?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
GTA VI released before June 2026?

Yes 0.2% 10,000 shares
Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?

Yes 3% 126 shares
Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in March?

Yes 1.9% 104 shares
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Yes 0.5% 702.81 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?

Yes 3.1% 161 shares