Yes position
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $62.79
- Potential payout
- $5.71K
- Potential profit
- $5.65K
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$68.76
Polymarket Trader
0xB4EDF10Ed5B47E9414ed4E130845201170469a97-1729614097704
0xb4edf10ed5b47e9414ed4e130845201170469a97
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $185.01
- Realized PnL
- $52.63
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $7.01
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$32.71
Yes position
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$999
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- User PnL
- -$555
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- User PnL
- -$592
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $658.04
- Potential profit
- $658.04
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $580.65
- Potential profit
- $580.65
- User PnL
- -$180
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $115.22
- Potential payout
- $426.73
- Potential profit
- $311.51
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $68.28
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $420.1
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.82
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$56.7
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$189.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$225
Yes position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$269.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 11% 426.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp 22% 454.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp 75% 133.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp 73% 34.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETDown 7.5% 332.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETDown 14% 178.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETDown 17% 147.06 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 610.99 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes 3.5% 5,188.85 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes 7.2% 5,799.85 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 98.4% 426.19 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 67% 426.19 shares