Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $21.26
- Potential payout
- $36.34
- Potential profit
- $15.08
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$13.74
Polymarket Trader
Mistwoodw
0xb4f27ac450dfe12a416929167ba25fa7a37e9f60
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.26
- Realized PnL
- $20.04
- Win rate
- 84.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
Yes position
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Workday (WDAY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96.3% 36.34 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83% 39.76 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 96.2% 35.52 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 95.7% 35.52 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in May 2026?No 99.5% 32.71 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in May 2026?No 97.8% 32.72 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 36.4 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 36.4 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 92.9% 34.32 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93.2% 34.33 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96% 35.22 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.5% 35.23 shares