Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $167.32
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$351.43
Polymarket Trader
0xb502C2F7A7E6408755bf331D271A5fAD095330b9-1781246252927
0xb502c2f7a7e6408755bf331d271a5fad095330b9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.23K
- Realized PnL
- $231.45
- Win rate
- 52.6%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- User PnL
- -$800
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $118.27
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $18.27
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- User PnL
- -$900
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $812
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $934.24
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$132.16
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $119.52
- Potential payout
- $952.38
- Potential profit
- $832.86
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $19.52
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $737.73
- Potential payout
- $927.96
- Potential profit
- $190.23
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $137.73
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $41.17
- Potential payout
- $769.54
- Potential profit
- $728.37
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$8.83
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $758.28
- Potential profit
- $758.28
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $85.95
- Potential payout
- $629.7
- Potential profit
- $543.75
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $28.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $221.25
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.3
- Potential profit
- $238.3
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $20.65
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $196.74
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$79.35
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.17
- Potential profit
- $169.17
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.39
- Potential profit
- $124.39
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $29.4
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $90.6
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $31.61
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $75.54
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $1.61
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.94
- Potential profit
- $99.94
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.34
- Potential profit
- $94.34
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $34.71
- Potential payout
- $85.71
- Potential profit
- $51
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $4.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $92.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.93
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.97
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.1
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.46
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $35.11
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $24.77
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $15.3
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $14.29
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$8.82
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$14.2
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$18.98
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$20.29
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.32x
- User PnL
- -$98.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?Yes 12% 176.47 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 75% 60.16 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 99.5% 63.29 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 82% 125 shares
- Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?Yes 10% 99.94 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 90% 57.18 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Yes 19% 26.32 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 27% 18.52 shares
- Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 22% 22.73 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes 19% 26.32 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 29% 17.24 shares