No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $788.55
- Potential payout
- $843.37
- Potential profit
- $54.82
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $88.56
Polymarket Trader
Clarendon Education
0xb50826aa7899c0c4261633dc3a8c27cc4cca6580
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $788.55
- Realized PnL
- $187.18
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $302.68
- Potential profit
- $302.68
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.3
- Potential profit
- $172.3
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year?
Ends Dec 15, 2022- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $54.6
Yes position
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18?
Ends Aug 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.14
Yes position
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) hit $20,000 or less by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.44
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals)
Ends May 28, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Yes position
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
Ends May 28, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.7
Yes position
Will $ETH be above $1,100 on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.03
Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
Ends Jan 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.41
No position
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.68
No position
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open?
Ends Aug 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.97
Yes position
Will Rafael Nadal play in the 2022 Wimbledon?
Ends Jun 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.84
Yes position
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Yes position
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023?
Ends Aug 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open?
Ends Aug 30, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 841589.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 956201.24x
- User PnL
- -$24.58
Caruana position
2022 Chess Candidates Tournament: Will Caruana or Nakamura finish higher?
Ends Jul 5, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 1364559.30x
- User PnL
- -$70.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 843.37 shares
- Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?Yes 11.6% 172.3 shares
- Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?Yes 6.6% 302.68 shares
- Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes 93.6% 106.84 shares
- Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes 89.3% 111.97 shares